Thursday, August 7, 2008
Anwar likely to be back as MP before trial begins
It is almost certain that Anwar Ibrahim will win the by-election hands down. Barring any political miracle for the BN, Anwar is likely to win with a bigger majority at Permatang Pauh. With polling day on Aug 26, he would have been elected as MP before his case is mentioned on Sept 10. In fact, by then he would have been the Opposition Leader. Lim Kit Siang has said that is the consensus of Pakatan MPs. But of course, his supporters would say he would be on his way to become Prime Minister. No matter what, the sodomy charges would actually work to his advantage. You don't need a poll to know that the majority of Malaysians do not believe the sodomy charges. Without the benefit of compelling information in court from the prosecution, that means there won't be any persuasive elements to convince the people, including the voters of Permatang Pauh. By nature, people want to be convinced, better still to see a video. But for the time being, until the trial starts, there won't be any fresh information.That will work to Anwar's advantage. The fact that some BN leaders are talking of boycotting the by-election is as good as admitting defeat but the Prime Minister has said that it is not going to happen. The search is now for a local candidate who knows he is fighting a giant. For the time being, it is best that the BN accepts the reality that Anwar is making a comeback to Parliament.